Purpose and Background

The purpose behind the Bull Bear Cycle Chart is to provide users with a clear and straightforward way to predict whether they should continue accumulating bitcoins or pause their accumulation for the time being. As a result of years of inspiration and ideas drawn from hundreds of different indicators and historical statistics, I have discovered—alongside other tools—one of the most powerful pattern and forecasting tools inherent to what bitcoin truly represents. Below you'll find a detailed explanation. It's somewhat technical and dry, but for those who want to understand it thoroughly, this information is invaluable.

The Investment Forecast: Halving Cycles as Predictive Framework

Here's the fundamental concept behind the investment forecast based on halving cycles and the historical statistical observations that support this investment strategy. Due to Bitcoin's programming, the future bitcoin trend related to halvings can be calculated with high mathematical probability. This represents a truly unique phenomenon in the investment world—something that has never existed before in this form. This is confirmed through statistical observations demonstrating that bitcoins value is strongly dependent on the halving cycles implemented within its protocol.

Mathematical Foundation of Halving Cycles

Halving cycles can essentially be calculated based on the duration of the time sequence between blocks. These 10-minute intervals between blocks are so ingeniously controlled by Bitcoin's core client that they provide a reliable basis for the probable calculation of future halvings. Now that I've explained the mathematical foundations for block calculations and how the future price trajectory can be predicted within a reasonably broad channel, let's examine the statistical observations from the past.

Historical Pattern Analysis

We have before us a chart that clearly marks the past halvings and indicates the next future halving event in 2028. Furthermore, we can observe that certain interconnected events consistently occur around each halving period.

The Pre-Halving Phase: 500 Days of Growth

First, before each halving—looking to the left of the halving marker—we repeatedly observe an ascending price movement beginning 500 days before each halving event and continuing until the actual halving occurs.

The Post-Halving Phase: 560 Days of Continued Growth

After each halving, within a remarkably precise timeframe of 560 days, we continue to see an ascending price movement. In summary, this means that 500 days before a halving and 560 days after, the price continuously rises throughout this 1,060-day period.

The Complete Cycle: Understanding Market Movements

When we add the pre-halving period to the post-halving period, we get 1,060 days of rising prices. Consequently, the periods between these rising phases are characterized by falling prices. Whenever a complete 1,060-day cycle concludes, one can assume with high probability that a period of declining prices will follow, lasting until we enter the beginning of the next 1,060-day cycle.

Timing Your Investment Strategy

The starting point of the 1,060-day period derives from the logic and predictability of the next halving. Since the next halving can be calculated with considerable certainty, we can also backdate to determine when the beginning of the next 1,060-day growth period is expected to commence.

This investment tool leverages Bitcoin's mathematically predictable halving cycles to help investors understand potential market movements and optimize their accumulation strategies accordingly.